(Long Distance) Ramblings

Thursday, October 07, 2004

That illness came back and got me down the last few days. Yesterday, I slept 14 hours yesterday and I feel better today. So, it being a clear afternoon, I joined the group from Scott's Cycling and did a very quick 26 miles. The first half of the ride was in daylight, but then darkness fell and the lights came on. It was quite a sight to see 25 bicyles with lights going down the road.

The weather looks bad for Saturday, but better on Sunday. So, that's the day I will do my long ride.

Short term...satellite shows a strong surface low near 52n/138w this

evening slowly shifting to the northeast...with ETA model and GFS similar
tracking the low northeast to the Queen Charlotte islands by 06z Sat
and weakening it. The models then move the low onto the British Columbia coast Sat.
The trailing rather strong cold front will probably produce gales
ahead of it tonight and early Friday...and some possible heavy rain due
to precipitable water values up around 1.5 inches. Satellite and
models still showing a double frontal structure south of 45n...but
ETA model and GFS similar merging the bands later tonight. Models have
fluctuated a little on their timing of the frontal movement and
associated precipitation...however, current model run looks similar
to last nights timing with heavier precipitation to the coast by 12z and
inland 18z-00z. Snow levels are fairly high with the front itself so
do not expect heavy snow with the front. Colder air behind the front
comes onshore Friday night and Sat and will likely drop snow levels in
the Cascades down to near 5000 feet. The orographics late Friday night
and Sat are fairly decent as the upper trough swings inland and some
potential exists for the first Snow Advisory of the year although
would likely be above the main passes.



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